Great post by Dave Cameron over at FanGraphs on the dearth of baseball hall-of-famers elected recently. Myself and many others have been saying for years that the writers need to begin voting great players into the HOF. Isn’t that the point of The Hall?
Finally, how they whiffed on Kenny Lofton is just beyond me. According to fWAR Lofton provided as much value as Duke Snider. Would these voters not put Duke Snider in if he had played during the “steroid era”?
Earlier in the week I compared the careers of Fred McGriff and Sammy Sosa. The contributions to their teams were nearly identical. Given these facts I have to give the voters some credit today. McGriff received 47 more hall-of-fame votes than Sosa. Considering they were near equals as players the 47 extra votes for Crime Dog could be viewed as bonus points for “playing clean”.
Of course I can not explain Kenny Lofton falling off the ballot after one year. 18 votes for Lofton is disgraceful. His career value is on par with Andre Dawson, Richie Ashburn and Max Carey. Should these three guys be removed from the Hall?
The bigger question is are we at a more permanent level of smaller hall? With all-time greats like Alan Trammell and Lofton dropping like flies it’s a fair question.
I have no problem with this player in the HOF:
.284 BA/.377 OBP/.509 SLG, 493 HR
or this player
.266/.353/.515, 462 HR
and finally this guy
.291/.363/.510, 352 HR
So who are these three players?
Here is someone who some sportswriters are lobbying to get into the Hall this year…
I left off the HR total because you would probably catch on pretty quickly if it was included.
So knowing that all 4 of these guys had long careers as productive sluggers which would you vote into HOF?
The fourth player is Sammy Sosa. While I wouldn’t vote for him based on his overall contribution to his teams I don’t have a major problem with those who would check Sosa’s name, these voters are simply “big hall” guys. Those who vote for Sammy should also vote for Fred McGriff who was clearly a better hitter than Sosa.
McGriff had nearly 400 more walks than Sosa while striking out 400 fewer times. Crime Dog posted more hits and doubles than Sosa in nearly the exact same number of at-bats.
Sosa has an advantage in home runs, stolen bases and overall defensive value.
FanGraphs WAR appears pretty accurate on this tale of the tape:
Sosa – 64 WAR
McGriff – 61 WAR
Crime Dog peaked with 137 HOF votes in 2012. If the voters are honest with themselves then Sosa won’t get to 138.
Not only is Ike Davis the NL first baseman for the 2nd half All-Stars, he has to be the in-season comeback player of the year.
In the last 66 games Ike is on a 45 HR pace (550 ABs). He’s posted a .230 ISO Power each of the last 4 months (versus .125 the first two months). Just imagine if the season was played in reverse order (game 162 first, game 1 last). Davis would be spoken about like the next Fred McGriff.
So what’s happened to the 25 year old lefty bopper? Doubles into long balls…
1st half – 14 2B, 12 HR
2nd half – 9 2B, 18 HR